Nov 10, 2012 this is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. Howard passell moderated will megacities be a cauldron for revolution or be an engine for technological revolutions. National intelligence council the national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces national intelligence estimates, which are intelligence communitywide forecasts of issues and challenges facing the security of the united states. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. Down but still a threat, august 2003 2 mb pdf file. This report contains 29 recommendations spanning a number. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. Science breakthroughs to advance food and agricultural research by 2030 identifies innovative, emerging scientific advances for making the u. Global water security intelligence community assessment ica 201208, 2 february 2012 this is an iccoordinated paper. No softwarebased technique can fully replace the bulk collection of signals intelligence, but methods can be developed to more effectively conduct targeted collection and to control the usage of collected. Within the office of the director of national intelligence odni, the nic carries out its mission under the direction of the deputy director for intelligence integration and the chairman, vice chairman, and counselor, who lead a corps of nios. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project open pdf 6 mb mapping the global future.
Resources 2030 taskforce, australian resourcesproviding. Atlantic council 5 executive summary the national intelligence council in its new report, global trends 2030. Dec, 2012 i would especially like to acknowledge the work of the latesenior analyst christopher decker who provided critical help with the forecasts on global health andpandemics before his untimely death. Science breakthroughs to advance food and agricultural. This report requested by the department of stateis designed to answer the question. In response to commission white paper the future of europe and its five scenarios, the informal group europe ambition 2030 is presenting its draft scenario for the eu and europe, their inhabitants, companies and workers, local authorities and state actors eu. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical. According to a recently released report from the national intelligence council titled global trends 2030. Artificial intelligence and national security congressional research service 1 introduction1 artificial intelligence ai is a rapidly growing field of technology that is capturing the attention of commercial investors, defense intellectuals, policymakers, and international competitors alike, as evidenced by a number of recent initiatives. National intelligence councils new assessment of what the world will look like in 2030 shows significant business risks and opportunities from resource scarcity, urbanization.
On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence council s nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Us national intelligence council global trends 2030. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004 to obtain a copy of this publication, please contact. This week, the national intelligence council released its quadrennial report about global trends, and its a sober read. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project is the third unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future.
New report envisions the world in 2030 the daily beast. Richard engel from the national intelligence council posted climate change 2030. A brief look at the internal workings of the nic is helpful in understanding how the community pulls together a comprehensive publication like gt2030. Scope note global water security this is an iccoordinated paper. These briefs represent the kind of work intelligence analysts do on a daily basis and should help familiarize students with the day to day life of an analyst. Europe ambition 2030 scenario vi draft n1 20th march 2017. It leads the ics effort to produce national intelligence estimates and other documents. Us national intelligence council forecasts a radically transformed world by the 2030s the verge. House permanent select committee on intelligence house select. On the national intelligence council this effort was conducted by the national intelligence officers for science and technology, and for economics, and the nics long range analysis unit.
The mtsf 20142019 requires the development of a national. Alternative worlds office of the director of national intelligence. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. Alternative worlds, argues that the historic moment the obama administration now confronts recalls past transition pointssuch as 1815, 1919, 1945, and 1989when the path forward was not. Worlds a publication of the national intelligence council. This report explores the availability of relatively new scientific developments across all disciplines that could accelerate.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. Alternative worlds, released by the office of the director of national intelligence, the apex body of 16 us intelligence agencies, says china alone will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the united states a few years before 2030. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Mapping the global future, report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project, january 2005. Occasional paper artificial intelligence and uk national security. How will water problems shortages, poor water quality, or floods impact us national security interests over the next. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004 to obtain a copy of this publication, please contact. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. Getting started the united states government manual. They already play an essential role in the development of all four worlds of work, matching skills to employer, capital to investor and. Within the intelligence community, we were supported by the defense intelligence agencys armed forces medical intelligence center, the office of naval. Global trends 2015 is not a traditional intelligence product based on classic intelligence sources, methods and procedures.
Report on national and regional ai strategies 5 landscape of ai strategies 2018 for the purposes of this report, an ai strategy is defined as a set of coordinated government policies that have a clear objective of maximizing the potential benefits and minimizing the potential costs of ai for the economy and society. A director of national intelligence for coordinating the overall intelligence effort is an idea that predates the establishment of the odni by five decades. Workshop on information technology in africa, may 2002 3 mb pdf file. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement. Intergovernmental panel on climate change, fifth assessment report, september 20. As with the nics national intelligence council previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an. National research council on the bulk collection of signals intelligence. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. A publication of the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds, china will possess the worlds largest economy by 2030, if not sooner. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Report published in 2009 by the national intelligence council of the united states nic 200904d. The two day conference is being held in partnership with the national intelligence council.
We sought out and drew heavily on experts outside the intelligence. Mapping the global future, report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project, january 2005. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. More recently, after retiring and moving to the atlantic council, i partnered again. While i was the counselor at the us national intelligence council 200320 responsible for producing three editions of the highly rated global trends report,1 the pardee center was critical for the modeling of those trends. Australian resourcesproiding prosperity for future generations 5 chairs foreword in accordance with the terms of reference and on behalf of the other taskforce members, i am pleased to present the final report prepared by the resources 2030 taskforce for senator the hon matthew canavan, minister for resources and northern australia. The national intelligence council nic is the center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking within the united states intelligence community ic.
The nic reports to the director of national intelligence in his capacity as head of the intelligence community. Publicly available intelligence documents listed below are samples of real and publicly available intelligence documents from a variety of agencies and sources. Jan 11, 2017 two years ago, writes chairman of the national intelligence council gregory treverton, the global trends team began interviewing experts in and out of government around the world 2,500 people in all, from 35 countries. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. The economic power of cities is indeed growing dramatically. More recently, after retiring and moving to the atlantic council, i. The national intelligence council gave overall direction to the yearlong effort, assisted by colleagues from other intelligence agencies and offices. Advances in artificial intelligence ai technology have opened up new markets and new opportunities. Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. The global trends 2030 report by the national intelligence council proposes a scenario called the non state world in which urbanization, technology and capital accumulation together accelerate the rise of spaced economic zones.
The attacks of september 11, 2001, against the world trade center and the subsequent report by the national commission on terrorist attacks upon the united states better known as the 911. The report lists four megatrends that are predicted to occur over the next 20 years or so, including individual empowerment, increased demand for. Dec 10, 2012 the national intelligence council s global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. The nic reports to the director of national intelligence in his capacity as head of the. How to read the national intelligence councils latest global. Governance is getting harder, and the nature of power is changing. The report is intended to stimulate strategic thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the. Grid 2030 a national vision for electricitys second 100 years v standardized architectures and techniques for distributed intelligence and smart power systems, and cleaner power generation systems, including nuclear, clean coal, renewable, and distributed energy devices such as combined heat and power. Alternative worlds of the us national intelligence council nic comes to a similar. Apr 22, 2007 minimization procedures used by the central intelligence agency in connection with acquisitions of foreign intelligence information pursuant to section 702 of the foreign intelligence surveillance act of 1978, as amended pdf 4. Intelligence report predicts it in 2030, a world of cyborgs with asia as top power networkworld.
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